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Verification and Assessment of Autumn Short - term Objective Forecast of Meteorological Elements in Northwest China
LIU Shi-Xiang, DAO Jian-Gong, ZHANG Tie-Jun, CHANG Da-Cheng, FU Xiao-Gong, ZHANG Jing, SONG Xiu-Ling
J4    2010, 28 (3): 346-351.  
Abstract1087)      PDF(pc) (990KB)(1873)       Save

Based on the numerical prediction interpretation techniques and forecast experiences,the short - term objective forecast system
of meteorological elements for Northwest China is established. With the aid of meteorological data of real - time observation,the
verification and assessments of objective forecast from the system - output for air temperature and precipitation in winter of 2006 have
been performed. The results show: ( 1) The forecast accuracy of maximum and minimum temperature is much higher than that of precipitation
with the accurate rates of 70% and 34%,respectively. ( 2) The factors affecting the forecast accuracies of temperature and
precipitation are the static stability of atmosphere and relative humidity. ( 3) If the system established on month scale,the forecast accuracy
of temperature is expected to have a 10% improvement.

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Error Sources Ana lysis of Lanzhou New Genera tion Wea ther Radar Da ta
LIU Wei-Cheng, CHANG Da-Cheng, ZHANG Yu-Fei, TAO Zheng-Nan
J4    2008, 26 (1): 89-94.  
Abstract1359)      PDF(pc) (792KB)(2244)       Save

New GenerationWeather Radar has become a chief means of monitoring the severe convective weather events occurred in Lanzhou and its surrounding areas. This paper analyzed data error sources in radar front - end and back - end p rocessing. Itwas found that clutter, radar antenna gain, monitoring distance and data interpolation, coordinate conversion, remote transmission to several ter2 minals are mainly error sources in radar front - end and back - end p rocessing, respectively.

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The of the Frozen一Thaw Process in Tibetan Plateau on Summer Monsoon over  Eastern Asia
CHANG Da-Cheng, WANG Cheng-Hai
J4    2006, 24 (3): 19-22.  
Abstract1675)      PDF(pc) (363KB)(1952)       Save
The relationship between the frozen-thaw process in the Tibetan Plateau and the summer monsoon over eastern Asia was investigated according to the correlation between the frozen days of soil and the summer monsoon index. As a case, the correlation between the seasonal frozen-thaw process and the change of sensible heat and latent heat in Tuotuohe region, and eastern Asia summer monsoon onset was analyzed primarily. The results show that there is certain correlation between the frozen-thaw process and heating effect over the Tibetan Plateau in transitional season from winter to summer; the seasonal frozen-thaw of soil results in the transportation of sensible heat and latent heat from surface to atmosphere change with seasons; and heating effect over the Tibetan Plateau has a great influence on the time and intensity of the summer monsoon onset in eastern Asia. Therefore, the frozen-thaw process of soil plays an important role in Asian summer monsoon onset.
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